[ Prévision des prix de vente des produits agricoles par la méthode de Box et Jenkins: cas des tomates ]
Volume 11, Issue 2, May 2015, Pages 404–417
Hiderah Kamal1, Youssfi Elkettani2, Mohsine Benabdallah3, and D. Driouchi4
1 Département de mathématique et informatique, Université Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Maroc
2 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Morocco
3 Département de mathématique et informatique, Université Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Maroc
4 Département Mathématique et Informatique, Université Mohamed 1er d'Oujda, Maroc
Original language: French
Copyright © 2015 ISSR Journals. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This paper is concerned with calculation of the forecasting of some agricultural products (tomatoes in the market of Oujda-Morocco). In the first section deals with the theoretical part of time series, and Box and Jenkins method. The second section is about calculating the forecasting for cycle 12/2013-7/2014. We analyze the time series using the following statistical programs: Excel, SPSS, and Eviews7. At the end, we have chosen the appropriate model for the prediction of tomato prices, in the market of fruits and vegetables of OUJDA.
Author Keywords: Forecasting, ARIMA, Box and Jenkins, Dickey and Fuller.
Volume 11, Issue 2, May 2015, Pages 404–417
Hiderah Kamal1, Youssfi Elkettani2, Mohsine Benabdallah3, and D. Driouchi4
1 Département de mathématique et informatique, Université Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Maroc
2 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Morocco
3 Département de mathématique et informatique, Université Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Maroc
4 Département Mathématique et Informatique, Université Mohamed 1er d'Oujda, Maroc
Original language: French
Copyright © 2015 ISSR Journals. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
This paper is concerned with calculation of the forecasting of some agricultural products (tomatoes in the market of Oujda-Morocco). In the first section deals with the theoretical part of time series, and Box and Jenkins method. The second section is about calculating the forecasting for cycle 12/2013-7/2014. We analyze the time series using the following statistical programs: Excel, SPSS, and Eviews7. At the end, we have chosen the appropriate model for the prediction of tomato prices, in the market of fruits and vegetables of OUJDA.
Author Keywords: Forecasting, ARIMA, Box and Jenkins, Dickey and Fuller.
Abstract: (french)
Cet article est consacré au calcul de la prévision de certains produits agricoles (tomates dans le marché d'Oujda-Maroc). Dans la première section nous avons parlé des propriétés théoriques de séries chronologiques, et de la méthode de Box et Jenkins. Dans la deuxième section nous avons calculé de la prévision pour le cycle 12/2013-7/2014. Nous avons analysé les séries chronologiques à l'aide des programmes statistiques suivantes: Excel, SPSS, Eviews7. A la fin, nous avons choisi le modèle approprié pour la prédiction des prix des tomates, dans le marché des fruits et légumes d'Oujda.
Author Keywords: Prévision des prix, produits agricoles, Box et Jenkins, tomates.
How to Cite this Article
Hiderah Kamal, Youssfi Elkettani, Mohsine Benabdallah, and D. Driouchi, “Forecast of selling price of agricultural products by the method of Box and Jenkins: case of tomatoes,” International Journal of Innovation and Applied Studies, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 404–417, May 2015.
