Volume 18, Issue 2, October 2016, Pages 395–407
Abdelaziz ESSAYEM1
1 Département des Sciences Economiques, Institut Supérieur de Comptabilité et d’Administration des Entreprises, Université de la Manouba, Tunisia
Original language: French
Copyright © 2016 ISSR Journals. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
The analysis of performances constitutes an important stage of a study of sector. The detection of factual difficulties of sectors of activities is a precondition in the analysis of strategies of adaptation which constitute the reactions of firms to performances. We propose in the present study a methodology combined by two indirect criteria of detection of sectorial difficulties. The first is based on the gap of sector’s growth in comparison with activity as a whole. The second criterion imposes an additional constraint on the sector’s growth by deducting a second gap of performance in comparison with the performance of the GDP in relation to its medium autorealization over long period. The detection of sectors in trouble leads us to estimate the weight in the GDP coming from sectors "in trouble" but also from relatively competitive sectors. Our study applied to the case of Tunisian economy highlights some less competitive sectors than activity as a whole. It emerges from it that about 40 % of the GDP on average over the period 2001-2014 results from sectors judged in trouble. To remain optimistic, we suppose that this rate represents a significant potential of catching up for the economic growth.
Author Keywords: GDP, Growth, Performance, crisis.
Abdelaziz ESSAYEM1
1 Département des Sciences Economiques, Institut Supérieur de Comptabilité et d’Administration des Entreprises, Université de la Manouba, Tunisia
Original language: French
Copyright © 2016 ISSR Journals. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
The analysis of performances constitutes an important stage of a study of sector. The detection of factual difficulties of sectors of activities is a precondition in the analysis of strategies of adaptation which constitute the reactions of firms to performances. We propose in the present study a methodology combined by two indirect criteria of detection of sectorial difficulties. The first is based on the gap of sector’s growth in comparison with activity as a whole. The second criterion imposes an additional constraint on the sector’s growth by deducting a second gap of performance in comparison with the performance of the GDP in relation to its medium autorealization over long period. The detection of sectors in trouble leads us to estimate the weight in the GDP coming from sectors "in trouble" but also from relatively competitive sectors. Our study applied to the case of Tunisian economy highlights some less competitive sectors than activity as a whole. It emerges from it that about 40 % of the GDP on average over the period 2001-2014 results from sectors judged in trouble. To remain optimistic, we suppose that this rate represents a significant potential of catching up for the economic growth.
Author Keywords: GDP, Growth, Performance, crisis.
Abstract: (french)
L’analyse des performances constitue une étape importante d’une étude de secteur. La détection de difficultés factuelles de secteurs d’activités est un préalable à l’analyse des stratégies d’adaptation qui constituent les réactions des entreprises aux performances. Nous proposons dans la présente étude une méthodologie combinée de deux critères indirects de détection de difficultés sectorielles. Le premier est basé sur l’écart de croissance des secteurs par rapport à l’activité dans son ensemble. Le second critère impose une contrainte supplémentaire à la croissance du secteur en déduisant un deuxième écart de performance par rapport à la performance du PIB relativement à son autoréalisation moyenne sur une longue période. La détection des secteurs en difficulté nous conduit à évaluer le poids dans le PIB provenant des secteurs « en difficulté » mais aussi des secteurs relativement performants. Notre étude appliquée au cas de l’économie tunisienne fait ressortir un certain nombre de secteurs moins performants que l’activité dans son ensemble. Il en ressort que près de 40% du PIB en moyenne sur la période 2001-2014 provient de secteurs jugés en difficulté. Pour rester optimistes, nous supposons que ce taux représente un potentiel non négligeable de rattrapage pour la croissance économique.
Author Keywords: PIB, croissance, secteur d’activité, performance, crise.
How to Cite this Article
Abdelaziz ESSAYEM, “Une méthodologie de détection des secteurs d’activité en difficulté: application au cas de l’économie tunisienne,” International Journal of Innovation and Applied Studies, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 395–407, October 2016.
